Report: ‘Swing’ for Ahmadinejad Not Reflected in Turnout Patterns.

1 12 2009

URL: Source: Chatham House and the Institute of Iranian Studies at the University of St. Andrews.

The report casts a critical eye towards the Islamic Republic’s key assertion that increased voter turnout was the driving force behind Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s success: “If Ahmadinejad’s victory was primarily caused by the increase in voter turnout, one would expect the data to show that the provinces where there was the greatest ’swing’ in support towards Ahmadinejad would also be the provinces with the greatest increase in voter turnout. This is not the case.” The report also pointed out that irregularities in certain sets of polling data gave the impression that the figures may have been “created by a computer.”




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